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Spinneys Growth Intelligence 2030
Evidence
Candidate rows
19
Distinct brands
6
In-target
9
Corridor
9
False positive
1
High confidence
1
Medium confidence
18
Workbook name: Competition Signal /100
Competition Signal is a measure of competitor evidence, not investment attractiveness. A higher value means more competitor evidence was found here — nothing about demand, economics or opportunity.
Share of candidate rows that are in-target.
How well the rows are corroborated (high = 1.0, medium = 0.6).
These two measures are kept separate on purpose. They are never blended into an overall score, and no market carries a composite rating.
Triage classes
19 candidate rows.
| Class | Rows |
|---|---|
| In-target | 9 |
| Corridor / regional | 9 |
| False positive | 1 |
Brand priority mix
Priority band of each candidate row.
| Priority | Rows |
|---|---|
| P0 | 15 |
| P1 | 4 |
Evidence confidence
Workbook confidence grade per row.
| Confidence | Rows |
|---|---|
| High | 1 |
| Medium | 18 |
| Low | 0 |
Wave C1 outcome of in-target rows
9 in-target rows by identity and location outcome.
3 closed row(s) here are mappable; holds and exclusions never reach the map.
| Outcome | Rows |
|---|---|
| Closed | 6 |
| On hold | 2 |
| Excluded | 1 |
Who is present
Brands appearing in this market's evidence, with how many rows each carries. Presence is evidence coverage — never market share.
Evidence rows per brand
6 brands appear in this market's candidate rows.
Row counts describe the evidence held in the release, not the size of a competitor's network.
| Brand | Rows | In-target | Corridor | False positive |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BİM | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Carrefour | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Hyper One | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kazyon | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| Kheir Zaman | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sun Mall | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Demand
Quoted verbatim from the approved release. Figures are never parsed, summed or compared across markets.
CAPMAS 2024 governorate estimate: 1,464,224 total population; urban share 47%.
Economic interpretation: Useful market-scale context; not city catchment population.
Data gapNo source URL or publication date is recorded for this demand statement. — The workbook cites the authority but not the document, so no link is shown and none is constructedCommercial readiness
These are requirements recorded in the approved release, not values. Nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Rent, CAPEX, store format, sales forecast, margin, occupancy, household spend and cannibalisation are not present in the approved source. They remain management inputs and are never estimated here.
Traceability
Open any row for its classification, confidence, Wave C1 outcome, sources and workbook lineage.
| Evidence | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyper OneP0 | 10th of Ramadan10th of Ramadan | FALSE POSITIVE | High confidence | excludedEXCLUDE — FALSE POSITIVE | Not mapped | |
| Kheir ZamanP0 | Ismailia / El GeishIsmailia | IN-TARGET | Medium confidence | closedCLOSED — NEW EXACT | Not mapped | |
| Sun MallP1 | Ismailia - MainIsmailia | IN-TARGET | Medium confidence | holdHOLD — EXACT STORE PIN | Not mapped | |
| Sun MallP1 | FayedFayed | CORRIDOR / REGIONAL | Medium confidence | benchmarkBENCHMARK — NOT C1 | Not mapped | |
| Sun MallP1 | Ismailia - Listing 2Ismailia | IN-TARGET | Medium confidence | excludedEXCLUDE — IDENTITY NOT CORROBORATED | Not mapped | |
| Sun MallP1 | El Tell El KebirEl Tell El Kebir | CORRIDOR / REGIONAL | Medium confidence | benchmarkBENCHMARK — NOT C1 | Not mapped | |
| CarrefourP0 | IsmailiaIsmailia | IN-TARGET | Medium confidence | closedCLOSED — NEW EXACT | Not mapped | |
| BİMP0 | Abu Suweir / Stadium HousingAbu Suweir | CORRIDOR / REGIONAL | Medium confidence | benchmarkBENCHMARK — NOT C1 | Not mapped | |
| BİMP0 | Ismailia / El Araishia 124Ismailia | IN-TARGET | Medium confidence | closedCLOSED — NEW EXACT | Not mapped | |
| BİMP0 | Ismailia / Hoda ShaarawyIsmailia | IN-TARGET | Medium confidence | closedCLOSED — REUSE GOVERNED | Not mapped |
Showing 1–10 of 19
2 in-target row(s) on Wave C1 hold
1 in-target row(s) excluded by governance
Demand evidence has no source URL
10 governed location(s) are linked to this market; 9 carry a verified coordinate and will appear on the Growth Map.