Spinneys Growth Intelligence 2030
Where to look · 7 of 9
What evidence supports the screening, how well it is sourced, and exactly where the record stops. Evidence completeness is not market attractiveness: a well-sourced market is well documented, not necessarily a good investment.
Registered sources
91
Evidence rows
298
Markets with demand evidence
3of 10
Demand rows without a source URL
10of 10
Demand
Quoted verbatim, in Target_ID order. Figures are never parsed, summed or compared across markets.
NUCA current population 650k; target 2.1m; 2,056 producing factories and 353,656 jobs stated on NUCA page.
Supports a meaningful consumer/employment catchment hypothesis.
Use wider New Cairo context only: NUCA reports current population ~1.5m and target 4m.
Supports New Cairo demand context but cannot be treated as Taj City resident count.
No authoritative project-level population inserted in this closeout.
Do not convert corridor growth into a resident-demand number.
Use Sheikh Zayed context only: NUCA reports current population 330k and target 675k.
Supports west-Cairo growth context, not a project-specific sales case.
Use wider New Cairo context only: NUCA reports current population ~1.5m and target 4m.
Supports a large surrounding market; exact compound economics still required.
NUCA reports current population 150k and target 500k.
Supports a growing-city demand hypothesis.
CAPMAS 2024 governorate estimate: 1,464,224 total population; urban share 47%.
Useful market-scale context; not city catchment population.
NUCA confirms a 5,913-feddan new city developed in four phases; no population figure used here.
Supports planned urban expansion but not enough for demand quantification.
CAPMAS 2024 governorate estimate: 797,045 population; 100% urban in the table.
Supports a substantial urban demand base.
No authoritative project-specific population inserted in this closeout.
Keep as strategic hypothesis until occupancy/demand evidence is supplied.
Demand evidence status across the ten markets
How far the demand record goes for each market.
Status describes the evidence, not the market's potential.
| Status | Markets |
|---|---|
| Demand evidence recorded | 3 |
| Macro evidence only | 4 |
| Commercial input required | 3 |
Source coverage by kind
158 management-visible sources, by the kind of publisher.
Directory and press sources support identity and presence; they do not prove a coordinate.
| Kind | Sources |
|---|---|
| directory | 78 |
| map search | 23 |
| official brand | 20 |
| social | 6 |
| corporate or developer | 4 |
| method reference | 4 |
| local control reference | 4 |
| government | 3 |
| promotion | 3 |
| descriptive reference | 3 |
Where the record stops
Gaps are published as gaps. Nothing here is estimated, and no link is constructed.
10
Demand statements without a source document
The workbook records the authority (NUCA, CAPMAS or a governed gap) but not the document, so no URL is shown and none is constructed.
21
Distinct commercial inputs still required
2
Sources withheld from management views
These sources contain evidence that was quarantined during validation. They are excluded from this page, from search and from every management view; their quarantined content is held only in the developer audit register.
See Methodology & Data Quality for the governance rules.
How many governed records carry a source or a labelled search link.
A Google Maps search link counts as a labelled search aid, never as coordinate evidence — that distinction is carried in the data itself.
Browse the source registerEvidence completeness is not attractiveness
Two markets share one macro demand figure